Despite concerns over the short-term impact of Brexit on their portfolios, UK investors’ assets are heavily weighted towards the UK market.
New research from Charles Schwab shows that UK investors are put off investing in other markets such as the US due to risks arising from geopolitical tensions. UK investors are also hesitant to invest in equities due to perceived risk and volatility and a nervousness around the complexity of the asset class.
Schwab’s poll of 201 UK investors with a minimum of GBP25,000 in disposable assets found that 74 per cent are looking to invest the majority of their assets in their home market. Only 7 per cent are looking to make significant investment into the US. The fact that nearly one in ten investors did not know or were unsure of their favoured markets demonstrates how little investors are considering foreign equities compared to their own.
When asked why they were attracted to investing in their home market, a significant proportion of investors (48 per cent) said that they feel most informed about companies in their own market and 39 per cent feel that they understand the dynamics of their domestic economy better than others. As further confirmation of the ‘Home Bias’ issue, nearly three quarters (74 per cent) of respondents agree that there is long-term value in investing in the UK market, compared to 56 per cent who say there is long- term value investing in the US market.
Kully Samra, Vice President of Charles Schwab, says: “UK investors have a strong tendency towards Home Bias and are clearly more comfortable allocating money to economies and stocks with which they are immediately familiar, even if the data suggests there may be better returns elsewhere. The US stock market is a prime example: the S&P 500 has by far outperformed the FTSE 100 over the last few years, so this UK favouritism demonstrates how UK investors are actually weakening their portfolios and cutting themselves off from potentially superior returns.”
The study reveals that many investors (72 per cent) believe that the medium-term outlook for the global stock market is looking bright. The home bias is evident here too, with investors believing that the UK market will perform strongest over the next year, followed by Europe and finally the US.
Not only is there a general bullishness around UK stock market performance, but 57 per cent of investors think that Brexit will have a long term positive impact on UK equities. The overall sense of positivity around UK equities is tempered to some extent in the short term by the likely market turbulence that will accompany Brexit. Investors appear to be aware that the lack of legal certainty around the so-called “divorce deal”, and the opaque nature of the future UK-EU trading relationship, is likely to lead to some short-term shocks for the UK economy; 59 per cent say that Brexit has made them consider diversifying their portfolio away from UK stocks.
This sentiment reflects an events-driven reaction – the desire to diversify outside of UK shares in order to avoid Brexit-related uncertainty and consequent volatility – rather than as part of a considered long-term diversification strategy.
While UK investors clearly have some desire to diversify their portfolios beyond their home shores, political tensions in the USA have resulted in UK investors shying away from this market. 60 per cent of respondents say that the political situation in Washington puts them off investing in the US market, with a further 58 per cent and 55 per cent detracted from US investing due to geopolitical tensions and high valuations respectively.
Scepticism and lack of knowledge is also putting these individuals off stocks and shares. The majority of investors (73 per cent) say that there is at least one thing which puts them off investing in equities, with 32 per cent thinking that the asset class carries too much risk and 22 per cent of the view that equities are too confusing.
Samra says: “Macroeconomic and geopolitical events have no doubt given stock markets some jitters over the past six months, but headlines can often be a distraction from the fundamental investment cases. US equities should be considered a key component of any balanced portfolio. The US remains the most established, liquid, and capitalised market in the world. The underlying economy is strong; unemployment is low, a tight labour market is leading to accelerating wage growth, corporate earnings are surpassing expectations and both productivity and sentiment indices are looking positive. Whilst political sabre-rattling can spook investors, we believe that economics and markets have had a larger impact on politics than the other way round.”