Research this week from Fineqia International, ETC Group and CoinShares all seems to point to an exciting return of the cryptocurrencies. Matteo Greco from Fineqia International detailed the key stages outstanding in the long awaited approval of a spot bitcoin ETP in the US. Will it happen in 2023? Time is running out. I hear some of my peers have a red meat bet on?
Greco writes: “Regarding ETFs, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) continue to maintain low discounts, standing at 8.7 per cent and 14.6 per cent, respectively. This reaffirms investor confidence in the anticipated mass approval of BTC Spot ETFs in early January 2024. The official closing of the comments period is set for January 4, leaving a window between Jan. 5 and Jan. 10, 2024, for approval or rejection. Since ETFs cannot be approved during the comments period, and with the deadline for 21Shares filing being Jan. 10, this six-day window will determine whether BTC Spot ETFs will be approved for trading in the US.
“Given the current market momentum, a retracement in December is plausible to reduce open interest and leverage before building an upward trend as the SEC decision deadline approaches. An approval is expected to bring short-term capital influx from the traditional finance investors, fuelling the uptrend, while a rejection might trigger a short-term negative price action due to high expectations of approval by market participants. A rejection could prompt market participants to adjust their positions, potentially leading to a downward trend in January. Analysts remain confident, however, maintaining a 90 per cent probability of approval.”
Our interview this week is with Katie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, winner of Best Mixed-Allocation ETF Issuer ($100m-$1bn) in the ETF Express US Awards.
Fairlead Strategies is the first ETF of ETFs to win in our awards and Stockton details how the firm put together their product, TACK, and her background in technical analysis that led to the formation of the firm.